A multi--criterion simulation model to determine dengue outbreaks

Piotr Jakubowski; Hasitha Erandi; Anuradha Mahasinghe; Sanjeewa Perera; Andrzej Ameljańczyk

doi:10.7494/csci.2020.21.3.3819

Authors

Piotr Jakubowski Faculty of Cybernetics, Military University of Technology, 00--908 Warsaw, Gen.Kaliskiego St.2, Poland
Hasitha Erandi Research & Development Centre for Mathematical Modelling, Department of Mathematics, University of Colombo, Colombo 03, Sri Lanka
Anuradha Mahasinghe Research & Development Centre for Mathematical Modelling, Department of Mathematics, University of Colombo, Colombo 03, Sri Lanka https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2828-6090
Sanjeewa Perera Research & Development Centre for Mathematical Modelling, Department of Mathematics, University of Colombo, Colombo 03, Sri Lanka
Andrzej Ameljańczyk Faculty of Cybernetics, Military University of Technology, 00-908 Warsaw, Gen.Kaliskiego St.2, Poland

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.7494/csci.2020.21.3.3819

Keywords:

dengue, climate data, mobility, Fuzzy set theory, Pareto optimization

Abstract

In this study we develop a multi-criteria model to identify dengue outbreak periods. To validate the model, we perform simulation using dengue transmission related data in the Western Province, Sri Lanka. Our results indicate that the developed model can be used to predict the dengue outbreak situation in a given region upto one month.

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References

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